ACLED National and Subnational Conflict Trends

Contents

ACLED National and Subnational Conflict Trends#

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Spatial Distribution of Conflict#

Conflict Intensity Index#

The Conflict Intensity Index is calculated using the following formula:

Conflict Intensity Index = √(Number of Events × (Number of Fatalities + 1))

Where:

Number of Events: Total count of conflict events in the given time period and location
Number of Fatalities: Total number of fatalities from conflict events (adding 1 to avoid zero multiplication)
The square root is applied to normalize the scale and reduce the impact of extreme values

This index provides a composite measure that accounts for both the frequency of conflicts (events) and their severity (fatalities), giving higher weight to areas with both frequent and deadly conflicts.

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/var/folders/gs/_227cnyd0pq1fr817_0jbcyw0000gp/T/ipykernel_20188/1374347150.py:89: UserWarning: set_ticklabels() should only be used with a fixed number of ticks, i.e. after set_ticks() or using a FixedLocator.
  subplot_ax.set_xticklabels(all_years, rotation=45, fontsize=8)
/var/folders/gs/_227cnyd0pq1fr817_0jbcyw0000gp/T/ipykernel_20188/1374347150.py:89: UserWarning: set_ticklabels() should only be used with a fixed number of ticks, i.e. after set_ticks() or using a FixedLocator.
  subplot_ax.set_xticklabels(all_years, rotation=45, fontsize=8)
/var/folders/gs/_227cnyd0pq1fr817_0jbcyw0000gp/T/ipykernel_20188/1374347150.py:89: UserWarning: set_ticklabels() should only be used with a fixed number of ticks, i.e. after set_ticks() or using a FixedLocator.
  subplot_ax.set_xticklabels(all_years, rotation=45, fontsize=8)
/var/folders/gs/_227cnyd0pq1fr817_0jbcyw0000gp/T/ipykernel_20188/1374347150.py:89: UserWarning: set_ticklabels() should only be used with a fixed number of ticks, i.e. after set_ticks() or using a FixedLocator.
  subplot_ax.set_xticklabels(all_years, rotation=45, fontsize=8)
/var/folders/gs/_227cnyd0pq1fr817_0jbcyw0000gp/T/ipykernel_20188/1374347150.py:89: UserWarning: set_ticklabels() should only be used with a fixed number of ticks, i.e. after set_ticks() or using a FixedLocator.
  subplot_ax.set_xticklabels(all_years, rotation=45, fontsize=8)
/var/folders/gs/_227cnyd0pq1fr817_0jbcyw0000gp/T/ipykernel_20188/1374347150.py:89: UserWarning: set_ticklabels() should only be used with a fixed number of ticks, i.e. after set_ticks() or using a FixedLocator.
  subplot_ax.set_xticklabels(all_years, rotation=45, fontsize=8)
/var/folders/gs/_227cnyd0pq1fr817_0jbcyw0000gp/T/ipykernel_20188/1374347150.py:89: UserWarning: set_ticklabels() should only be used with a fixed number of ticks, i.e. after set_ticks() or using a FixedLocator.
  subplot_ax.set_xticklabels(all_years, rotation=45, fontsize=8)
/var/folders/gs/_227cnyd0pq1fr817_0jbcyw0000gp/T/ipykernel_20188/1374347150.py:89: UserWarning: set_ticklabels() should only be used with a fixed number of ticks, i.e. after set_ticks() or using a FixedLocator.
  subplot_ax.set_xticklabels(all_years, rotation=45, fontsize=8)
/var/folders/gs/_227cnyd0pq1fr817_0jbcyw0000gp/T/ipykernel_20188/1374347150.py:89: UserWarning: set_ticklabels() should only be used with a fixed number of ticks, i.e. after set_ticks() or using a FixedLocator.
  subplot_ax.set_xticklabels(all_years, rotation=45, fontsize=8)
/var/folders/gs/_227cnyd0pq1fr817_0jbcyw0000gp/T/ipykernel_20188/1374347150.py:89: UserWarning: set_ticklabels() should only be used with a fixed number of ticks, i.e. after set_ticks() or using a FixedLocator.
  subplot_ax.set_xticklabels(all_years, rotation=45, fontsize=8)
/var/folders/gs/_227cnyd0pq1fr817_0jbcyw0000gp/T/ipykernel_20188/1374347150.py:89: UserWarning: set_ticklabels() should only be used with a fixed number of ticks, i.e. after set_ticks() or using a FixedLocator.
  subplot_ax.set_xticklabels(all_years, rotation=45, fontsize=8)
/var/folders/gs/_227cnyd0pq1fr817_0jbcyw0000gp/T/ipykernel_20188/1374347150.py:89: UserWarning: set_ticklabels() should only be used with a fixed number of ticks, i.e. after set_ticks() or using a FixedLocator.
  subplot_ax.set_xticklabels(all_years, rotation=45, fontsize=8)
/var/folders/gs/_227cnyd0pq1fr817_0jbcyw0000gp/T/ipykernel_20188/1374347150.py:89: UserWarning: set_ticklabels() should only be used with a fixed number of ticks, i.e. after set_ticks() or using a FixedLocator.
  subplot_ax.set_xticklabels(all_years, rotation=45, fontsize=8)
/var/folders/gs/_227cnyd0pq1fr817_0jbcyw0000gp/T/ipykernel_20188/1374347150.py:89: UserWarning: set_ticklabels() should only be used with a fixed number of ticks, i.e. after set_ticks() or using a FixedLocator.
  subplot_ax.set_xticklabels(all_years, rotation=45, fontsize=8)

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Population living in the same regions as conflict#

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Total population in Tigray conflict areas: 12,078,380. This is 10.51% of Ethiopia's total population of 114,948,337.
Total population in Amhara conflict areas: 16,269,225. This is 14.15% of Ethiopia's total population of 114,948,337.
Average population density in Tigray areas: 15,328
Average population density in Amhara areas: 12,159